Single-lever policy simulation · immigration
Work visa grants
210k/yr→220k/yr10-year projection
This report models the effect of raising work visa grants from 210k/yr to 220k/yr — with every other government policy left unchanged — on Britain's wider systems, projected over 10 years.
Bottom line
Improves Vacancy fill rate, with little downside in the model.
A single lever moved in isolation — which no real government does. Figures are modelled projections, not predictions. How the model works →
Direct effects
▲Vacancy fill rate
slight improvementWhy: Work visas fill immediate vacancies in sectors with domestic labour shortages
⏱ Effect emerges within months
Model output — exact figures
Vacancy fill rate55 → 57 (+2)
Index points on a 0–100 scale. Lower is better for pressure metrics; higher is better for outcomes like GDP and satisfaction.