Single-lever policy simulation · public services
Social care funding (annual)
This report models the effect of raising social care funding from £27bn to £39bn — with every other government policy left unchanged — on the public finances and social care, projected over 10 years.
Eases Social care staffing and Hospital waits, but worsens Fiscal pressure, GDP strength and NHS staffing.
A single lever moved in isolation — which no real government does. Figures are modelled projections, not predictions. How the model works →
Direct effects
▼Social care staffing
moderate improvementWhy: Better funding addresses chronic vacancy crisis in care homes and home care
Knock-on effects
Reached indirectly, as the direct effects propagate through the system. Ordering reflects how the effect spreads, not a literal sequence in time.
Model output — exact figures
Index points on a 0–100 scale. Lower is better for pressure metrics; higher is better for outcomes like GDP and satisfaction.