Single-lever policy simulation · public services
NHS training places (annual intake)
This report models the effect of raising NHS training places from 73k/yr to 97k/yr — with every other government policy left unchanged — on the NHS, projected over 10 years.
Eases NHS staffing, Hospital waits and Working-age population, but worsens Fiscal pressure.
A single lever moved in isolation — which no real government does. Figures are modelled projections, not predictions. How the model works →
Direct effects
▼NHS staffing
moderate improvementWhy: Domestic training is the long-term fix for staffing — doctors take 7–10 years, nurses 3–4. Investment now eases pressure from the late 2020s onward
Knock-on effects
Reached indirectly, as the direct effects propagate through the system. Ordering reflects how the effect spreads, not a literal sequence in time.
Model output — exact figures
Index points on a 0–100 scale. Lower is better for pressure metrics; higher is better for outcomes like GDP and satisfaction.