Single-lever policy simulation · public services
NHS budget (annual)
This report models the effect of raising the NHS budget from £192bn to £240bn — with every other government policy left unchanged — on the public finances, the economy, social care, housing and public opinion, projected over 10 years.
Eases Hospital waits, but worsens Fiscal pressure, GDP strength and Social care staffing.
A single lever moved in isolation — which no real government does. Figures are modelled projections, not predictions. How the model works →
Direct effects
▼NHS staffing
negligible net effectWhy: More funding enables recruitment, better pay, and retention of NHS staff
Knock-on effects
Reached indirectly, as the direct effects propagate through the system. Ordering reflects how the effect spreads, not a literal sequence in time.
Model output — exact figures
Index points on a 0–100 scale. Lower is better for pressure metrics; higher is better for outcomes like GDP and satisfaction.