Single-lever policy simulation · housing
Construction skills investment
This report models the effect of raising construction-skills investment from £2.0bn/yr (current) to £4.0bn/yr (+100%) — with every other government policy left unchanged — on housing, projected over 10 years.
Eases Housing supply gap, Rent pressure and House prices, but worsens Fiscal pressure.
A single lever moved in isolation — which no real government does. Figures are modelled projections, not predictions. How the model works →
Direct effects
▼Housing supply gap
moderate improvementWhy: Training apprentices and retraining into construction is a 2–4y pipeline — investment now eases the labour constraint on housebuilding from the late 2020s
Knock-on effects
Reached indirectly, as the direct effects propagate through the system. Ordering reflects how the effect spreads, not a literal sequence in time.
Model output — exact figures
Index points on a 0–100 scale. Lower is better for pressure metrics; higher is better for outcomes like GDP and satisfaction.